|
Stats
The following are real estate statistics pertaining to the Tri Valley:
The following tables show the state of health of the Tri Valley real estate market. Red cells indicate unfavorable
conditions for sellers and green cells indicate favorable conditions for sellers.
Notes on September market:
Median home prices and $/sq-ft are holding fairly steady, but still off 30-35% their peak values. Number of acive
listings and pending homes has also stayed fairly constant. One troubling sign is that the number of REO & short
listings have increased in all three cities, even in Pleasanton. We need to see REO's and short listings decrease, I
believe, before the market starts to recover.
| Detached Listings: |
REO |
Short |
Both |
%
REO |
%
Short |
%
REO or Short |
| Livermore |
56 |
77 |
133 |
15.47% |
21.27% |
36.74% |
| Dublin |
11 |
20 |
31 |
11.58% |
21.05% |
32.63% |
| Pleasanton |
10 |
24 |
34 |
3.92% |
9.41% |
13.33% |
| Sep-08 |
Dublin |
| |
Value |
% Historical Max |
% Historical Min |
% Historical Normal
for September |
% change from August |
% Higher or Lower
than Historical Normal for September |
| Median |
$ 630,000 |
71.8% |
164.7% |
103.3% |
-3.8% |
-2.5% |
| $/sq-ft |
$ 296
|
73.7% |
108.9% |
86.7% |
-6.6% |
-1.6% |
| Active Listings |
95 |
59.0% |
135.7% |
75.4% |
-13.6% |
-6.5% |
| Pending |
72 |
100.0% |
600.0% |
167.4% |
22.0% |
4.2% |
| Sold |
17 |
30.9% |
188.9% |
59.5% |
-45.2% |
-36.9% |
| DOM |
42 |
43.0% |
468.0% |
138.4% |
-33.3% |
-22.2% |
| Active # REO or Short |
31 |
86.1% |
134.8% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Pending # REO or Short |
40 |
100.0% |
181.8% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Sold # REO or Short |
9 |
60.0% |
225.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sep-08 |
Livermore |
| |
Value |
% Historical
Max |
% Historical
Min |
% Historical
Normal for September |
% change
from August |
% Higher
or Lower than Historical Normal for September |
| Median |
$ 475,000 |
66.9% |
129.4% |
95.0% |
1.1% |
3.5% |
| $/sq-ft |
$ 298
|
77.0% |
102.6% |
87.6% |
0.5% |
-0.8% |
| Active Listings |
362 |
80.1% |
175.7% |
88.7% |
0.0% |
1.0% |
| Pending |
142 |
95.9% |
710.0% |
161.4% |
0.0% |
6.4% |
| Sold |
59 |
38.3% |
245.8% |
73.1% |
-19.2% |
3.9% |
| DOM |
50 |
49.9% |
458.1% |
135.2% |
-20.7% |
-22.2% |
| Active # REO or Short |
133 |
97.8% |
160.2% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Pending # REO or Short |
102 |
100.0% |
185.5% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Sold # REO or Short |
32 |
91.4% |
168.4% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sep-08 |
Pleasanton |
| |
Value |
% Historical
Max |
% Historical
Min |
% Historical
Normal for September |
% change
from August |
% Higher
or Lower than Historical Normal for September |
| Median |
$ 788,500 |
65.7% |
159.6% |
114.0% |
7.3% |
7.7% |
| $/sq-ft |
$ 400
|
88.5% |
102.8% |
96.7% |
0.4% |
1.8% |
| Active Listings |
255 |
95.1% |
231.8% |
108.5% |
0.0% |
1.7% |
| Pending |
63 |
73.3% |
315.0% |
132.6% |
0.0% |
9.5% |
| Sold |
32 |
27.6% |
228.6% |
55.0% |
-34.7% |
-9.6% |
| DOM |
52 |
56.3% |
523.1% |
162.1% |
-0.7% |
7.0% |
| Active # REO or Short |
34 |
100.0% |
283.3% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Pending # REO or Short |
18 |
100.0% |
180.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Sold # REO or Short |
2 |
33.3% |
200.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
Notes on the August market: The market conditions are fairly mixed, but things are looking up. Although median
prices slipped for Livermore and Pleasanton, Dublin increased slightly. It is typical for median home prices to slip
from July to Aug. However, $/sq-ft increased for all three cities from July to Aug which is also expected. Inventory
has dropped or remained steay, which is a good sign because normally, inventory increases. # of REO's and Short sales
stayed pretty constant, which is unfortunate because we want to see them decrease. As far as rates go, unfortunately
mortgage rates have increased almost steadily in the past eight months but at least prime has stayed low at 5% for the last four
months. Other than the rates being high, it remains a strong buyers market.
| Aug-08 |
Dublin |
| |
Value |
% Historical Max |
% Historical Min |
% Historical Normal
for August |
% change from July |
% Higher or Lower
than Historical Normal for August |
| Median |
$ 655,000 |
74.6% |
171.2% |
106.0% |
2.8% |
6.0% |
| $/sq-ft |
$ 317 |
78.9% |
116.6% |
88.2% |
1.8% |
-2.5% |
| Active Listings |
110 |
68.3% |
157.1% |
81.1% |
-7.6% |
-3.1% |
| Pending |
59 |
88.1% |
491.7% |
161.6% |
0.0% |
12.0% |
| Sold |
31 |
56.4% |
344.4% |
99.6% |
-18.4% |
-13.8% |
| DOM |
63 |
64.4% |
701.4% |
184.4% |
82.7% |
51.6% |
| Active # REO or Short |
29 |
80.6% |
126.1% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Pending # REO or Short |
27 |
81.8% |
122.7% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Sold # REO or Short |
8 |
53.3% |
160.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Aug-08 |
Livermore |
| |
Value |
% Historical Max |
% Historical Min |
% Historical Normal
for August |
% change from July |
% Higher or Lower
than Historical Normal for August |
| Median |
$ 470,000 |
66.2% |
128.1% |
91.7% |
-5.1% |
-2.2% |
| $/sq-ft |
$ 296 |
76.6% |
102.1% |
88.3% |
2.1% |
-0.7% |
| Active Listings |
362 |
80.1% |
175.7% |
87.9% |
2.3% |
-2.6% |
| Pending |
142 |
95.9% |
710.0% |
151.1% |
2.9% |
8.4% |
| Sold |
73 |
47.4% |
304.2% |
69.6% |
0.0% |
-17.9% |
| DOM |
64 |
62.9% |
577.6% |
173.1% |
10.3% |
6.4% |
| Active # REO or Short |
108 |
87.8% |
130.1% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Pending # REO or Short |
80 |
92.0% |
145.5% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Sold # REO or Short |
31 |
88.6% |
163.2% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Aug-08 |
Pleasanton |
| |
Value |
% Historical Max |
% Historical Min |
% Historical Normal
for August |
% change from July |
% Higher or Lower
than Historical Normal for August |
| Median |
$ 735,000 |
61.3% |
148.8% |
105.8% |
-14.0% |
-8.6% |
| $/sq-ft |
$ 398 |
88.1% |
102.4% |
95.0% |
2.4% |
0.6% |
| Active Listings |
255 |
95.1% |
231.8% |
106.7% |
-4.9% |
-4.7% |
| Pending |
63 |
73.3% |
315.0% |
120.0% |
1.6% |
11.1% |
| Sold |
49 |
42.2% |
350.0% |
63.0% |
-14.0% |
-14.9% |
| DOM |
53 |
56.6% |
526.7% |
150.8% |
14.6% |
-5.9% |
| Active # REO or Short |
20 |
100.0% |
166.7% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Pending # REO or Short |
11 |
78.6% |
110.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Sold # REO or Short |
6 |
100.0% |
600.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Jul-08 |
Dublin |
| |
Value |
% Historical Max |
% Historical Min |
% Historical Normal
for July |
% change from July |
% Higher or Lower
than Historical Normal for July |
| Median |
$ 637,150 |
72.6% |
166.6% |
99.8% |
1.8% |
3.3% |
| $/sq-ft |
$ 311 |
77.5% |
114.5% |
90.3% |
-5.4% |
0.2% |
| Active Listings |
119 |
73.9% |
170.0% |
83.8% |
-4.0% |
-4.7% |
| Pending |
59 |
88.1% |
491.7% |
142.2% |
-11.9% |
9.0% |
| Sold |
38 |
69.1% |
422.2% |
116.5% |
31.0% |
41.7% |
| DOM |
35 |
35.3% |
383.9% |
132.3% |
-48.4% |
-27.5% |
| Active # REO or Short |
24 |
66.7% |
100.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Pending # REO or Short |
25 |
75.8% |
113.6% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Sold # REO or Short |
15 |
100.0% |
300.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jul-08 |
Livermore |
| |
Value |
% Historical Max |
% Historical Min |
% Historical Normal
for July |
% change from July |
% Higher or Lower
than Historical Normal for July |
| Median |
$ 495,000 |
69.7% |
134.9% |
93.9% |
-6.3% |
-3.4% |
| $/sq-ft |
$ 290 |
75.0% |
100.0% |
88.9% |
-5.7% |
0.0% |
| Active Listings |
354 |
78.3% |
171.8% |
90.1% |
1.1% |
-2.0% |
| Pending |
138 |
93.2% |
690.0% |
138.7% |
-6.8% |
0.7% |
| Sold |
73 |
47.4% |
304.2% |
82.0% |
0.0% |
16.8% |
| DOM |
58 |
57.0% |
523.7% |
163.1% |
-11.4% |
-18.4% |
| Active # REO or Short |
108 |
94.7% |
117.4% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Pending # REO or Short |
72 |
86.7% |
130.9% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Sold # REO or Short |
33 |
100.0% |
173.7% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jul-08 |
Pleasanton |
| |
Value |
% Historical Max |
% Historical Min |
% Historical Normal
for July |
% change from July |
% Higher or Lower
than Historical Normal for July |
| Median |
$ 855,000 |
71.3% |
173.1% |
116.4% |
3.0% |
4.9% |
| $/sq-ft |
$ 389 |
86.1% |
100.0% |
94.4% |
-0.3% |
0.5% |
| Active Listings |
268 |
100.0% |
243.6% |
112.0% |
6.8% |
3.6% |
| Pending |
62 |
72.1% |
310.0% |
106.9% |
-10.1% |
4.6% |
| Sold |
57 |
49.1% |
407.1% |
73.9% |
16.3% |
25.2% |
| DOM |
46 |
49.4% |
459.6% |
158.5% |
-3.0% |
8.8% |
| Active # REO or Short |
18 |
100.0% |
150.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Pending # REO or Short |
13 |
100.0% |
108.3% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Sold # REO or Short |
4 |
100.0% |
400.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Jun-08 |
Dublin |
| |
Value |
% Historical Max |
% Historical Min |
% Historical Normal
for June |
% change from June |
% Higher or Lower
than Historical Normal for June |
| Median |
$ 626,000 |
71.3% |
163.7% |
96.5% |
-1.3% |
-3.2% |
| $/sq-ft |
$ 329 |
81.9% |
121.0% |
90.2% |
-0.6% |
-4.2% |
| Active Listings |
124 |
77.0% |
177.1% |
87.9% |
0.0% |
-3.7% |
| Pending |
67 |
100.0% |
558.3% |
127.6% |
19.6% |
5.5% |
| Sold |
29 |
52.7% |
322.2% |
79.5% |
31.8% |
-4.6% |
| DOM |
67 |
68.3% |
744.1% |
203.0% |
60.3% |
28.1% |
| Active # REO or Short |
36 |
100.0% |
150.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Pending # REO or Short |
33 |
100.0% |
150.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Sold # REO or Short |
5 |
33.3% |
100.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jun-08 |
Livermore |
| |
Value |
% Historical Max |
% Historical Min |
% Historical Normal
for June |
% change from June |
% Higher or Lower
than Historical Normal for June |
| Median |
$ 528,000 |
74.4% |
143.9% |
97.3% |
8.9% |
6.9% |
| $/sq-ft |
$ 308 |
79.5% |
106.0% |
88.8% |
0.0% |
0.3% |
| Active Listings |
350 |
77.4% |
169.9% |
91.9% |
-9.3% |
-9.2% |
| Pending |
148 |
100.0% |
740.0% |
137.7% |
6.5% |
7.9% |
| Sold |
73 |
47.4% |
304.2% |
68.2% |
28.1% |
9.7% |
| DOM |
65 |
64.4% |
591.0% |
197.0% |
14.0% |
13.4% |
| Active # REO or Short |
98 |
86.0% |
106.5% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Pending # REO or Short |
72 |
86.7% |
130.9% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Sold # REO or Short |
23 |
69.7% |
121.1% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jun-08 |
Pleasanton |
| |
Value |
% Historical Max |
% Historical Min |
% Historical Normal
for June |
% change from June |
% Higher or Lower
than Historical Normal for June |
| Median |
$ 830,000 |
69.2% |
168.0% |
110.9% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
| $/sq-ft |
$ 390 |
86.3% |
100.3% |
94.0% |
-5.8% |
-2.6% |
| Active Listings |
251 |
93.7% |
228.2% |
108.2% |
1.2% |
-8.1% |
| Pending |
69 |
80.2% |
345.0% |
101.5% |
-19.8% |
-6.4% |
| Sold |
49 |
42.2% |
350.0% |
57.9% |
16.7% |
-5.8% |
| DOM |
47 |
50.9% |
473.7% |
144.1% |
3.3% |
-21.4% |
| Active # REO or Short |
17 |
94.4% |
141.7% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Pending # REO or Short |
12 |
92.3% |
100.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Sold # REO or Short |
2 |
50.0% |
200.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
|
May-08 |
Dublin |
|
|
Value |
% Historical Max |
% Historical Min |
% Historical Normal for May |
% change from April |
% Higher or Lower than Historical Normal for May |
|
Median |
$
634,000 |
72.3% |
165.8% |
99.7% |
-5.2% |
-7.3% |
|
$/sq-ft |
$
331 |
82.4% |
121.8% |
94.0% |
2.0% |
3.3% |
|
Active Listings |
124 |
77.0% |
177.1% |
91.2% |
-11.4% |
-28.3% |
|
Pending |
56 |
100.0% |
466.7% |
121.7% |
64.7% |
23.2% |
|
Sold |
22 |
40.0% |
244.4% |
82.2% |
37.5% |
42.8% |
|
DOM |
42 |
42.6% |
464.1% |
167.4% |
-19.7% |
-18.7% |
|
Active # REO or Short |
30 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
|
Pending # REO or Short |
22 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
|
Sold # REO or Short |
8 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
May-08 |
Livermore |
|
|
Value |
% Historical Max |
% Historical Min |
% Historical Normal for May |
% change from April |
% Higher or Lower than Historical Normal for May |
|
Median |
$
485,000 |
68.3% |
132.2% |
91.1% |
-3.0% |
-3.4% |
|
$/sq-ft |
$
307 |
79.4% |
100.0% |
88.5% |
-4.8% |
-3.2% |
|
Active Listings |
386 |
85.4% |
187.4% |
101.2% |
-0.3% |
-18.3% |
|
Pending |
139 |
100.0% |
695.0% |
127.5% |
69.5% |
20.2% |
|
Sold |
57 |
37.0% |
237.5% |
63.1% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
|
DOM |
57 |
56.5% |
518.3% |
173.8% |
9.6% |
7.8% |
|
Active # REO or Short |
104 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
|
Pending # REO or Short |
66 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
|
Sold # REO or Short |
23 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
May-08 |
Pleasanton |
|
|
Value |
% Historical Max |
% Historical Min |
% Historical Normal for May |
% change from April |
% Higher or Lower than Historical Normal for May |
|
Median |
$
783,000 |
65.3% |
158.5% |
109.8% |
-4.9% |
-1.0% |
|
$/sq-ft |
$
414 |
91.6% |
104.3% |
96.5% |
0.3% |
-1.0% |
|
Active Listings |
248 |
100.0% |
225.5% |
116.8% |
3.8% |
-5.5% |
|
Pending |
86 |
100.0% |
430.0% |
109.6% |
30.3% |
7.6% |
|
Sold |
42 |
36.2% |
300.0% |
60.8% |
44.8% |
29.9% |
|
DOM |
46 |
49.3% |
458.6% |
173.9% |
-11.8% |
-12.5% |
|
Active # REO or Short |
12 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
|
Pending # REO or Short |
13 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
|
Sold # REO or Short |
1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
|